Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.218077 0.251970 0.289214 0.333153 0.383552 0.439534 0.506419
2024-10-20 0.167353 0.211960 0.265420 0.334120 0.419978 0.523665 0.658331
2024-10-27 0.126242 0.173968 0.235901 0.321944 0.438189 0.589582 0.801552
2024-11-03 0.103743 0.154513 0.225381 0.331121 0.484471 0.698334 1.018796
2024-11-10 0.087199 0.139569 0.217771 0.342381 0.535243 0.821561 1.277948
2024-11-17 0.071534 0.122499 0.203559 0.340892 0.566686 0.921864 1.521254
2024-11-24 0.059166 0.107942 0.190232 0.337851 0.594568 1.020605 1.778455
2024-12-01 0.049745 0.096313 0.179340 0.336447 0.624320 1.126397 2.064127
2024-12-08 0.042565 0.087155 0.170887 0.337459 0.657938 1.243352 2.387393
2024-12-15 0.037541 0.081017 0.166727 0.345399 0.705160 1.391216 2.789485
2024-12-22 0.032334 0.073409 0.158257 0.343253 0.732322 1.505356 3.145231
2024-12-29 0.028943 0.068916 0.155195 0.351387 0.781128 1.668264 3.621569
2025-01-05 0.024844 0.062101 0.146189 0.345739 0.801216 1.778528 4.012713
2025-01-12 0.022164 0.058031 0.142495 0.351233 0.846643 1.949185 4.560552
2025-01-19 0.018928 0.051904 0.132919 0.341371 0.855628 2.042234 4.952816
2025-01-26 0.017363 0.049707 0.132354 0.353100 0.917529 2.264060 5.675121
2025-02-02 0.016052 0.047903 0.132434 0.366481 0.985841 2.511398 6.497037
2025-02-09 0.014272 0.044404 0.127457 0.365818 1.018555 2.678201 7.148946
2025-02-16 0.012655 0.041011 0.122116 0.363177 1.045657 2.835279 7.801399
2025-02-23 0.011308 0.038124 0.117629 0.362081 1.076795 3.007528 8.520628
2025-03-02 0.010208 0.035764 0.114211 0.363441 1.115108 3.204667 9.337626
2025-03-09 0.009446 0.034333 0.113304 0.372161 1.176270 3.473265 10.393236
2025-03-16 0.008480 0.031986 0.109109 0.369979 1.204732 3.655186 11.232759